Right Wing Propaganda Misleads Angry White Voters

 

In recent elections, the U.S. moved closer to oligarchy and plutocracy by the super wealthy at the top of the right wing political network.  How could this have happened when the exploited majority had to vote against its own interests to allow it?  One answer is that what voters think is happening to them is far more important than what is actually happening.

The Koch brothers and other leaders of the right wing political network understood this decades ago and launched an extensive campaign to purchase intellectuals, think tanks, and media to establish a system of misleading beliefs favoring their interests. (1) This investment paid off handsomely when it successfully redirected the rage of working-class whites away from their exploiters and made possible the election of Donald Trump to the presidency.

What Was Actually Happening To Working Class Whites

During several decades of increasing U.S. wealth from globalization and automation, working-class whites lost jobs and did not get salary increases, while those at the top took all the money and the worst among them even opposed the safety net for those left behind.  During this period real GDP per capita increased substantially, which should have provided sufficient increases in income for everyone to benefit (See fig. 1.).

Figure 1. Per capita real GDP and median wage from 1980 to 2013. (2)

So what changes led to this inequality?  After the Reagan Revolution of 1980, a distribution problem arose that favored the rich and super rich in association with tax cuts, financial and other deregulation, and other policies.  Before that, the distribution of gains in income had been stable and reasonably equitable from 1947 to 1980 with 48-51% for wages and salaries and with a similar amount for return on Capital.  During that interval, incomes increased by 87% for the bottom 90%, 57% for the top 1%, and 83% for the top 0.01%. (2)

This pattern deteriorated markedly from 1980 to 2013 when the share of increases in income for wages and salaries fell to 42%.  Incomes actually decreased by 6% for the bottom 90%, but increased by 178% for the top 1%, and 431% for the top 0.01%.  (See fig. 2). (2) This distribution problem was compounded by tax cuts for the rich that prevented correction by redistribution.  The average tax rate was cut by 20% for the top 1% from 1979 to 2007 (37% to 29.5%) and by 37% for the top 400 families just from 1992 to 2007 (26.4% to 16.6%–1979 figures not available). (3)

Figure 2. Changes in real income according to income group before and after the Reagan Revolution–1947-1980 and 1980-2012. (2)

What Some Working Class Whites Were Persuaded Was Happening

Thanks to long term right wing propaganda, a system of false beliefs was already in place to explain away the role of plutocrats in creating the difficulties for working-class whites. (4) These false beliefs included misleading claims about benefits from unregulated markets, tax cuts for the rich, and the role of meritocracy, as well as demonization of government size, deficits, function, safety nets, and regulation. Facts, figures, and graphs rebutting all of these claims are presented in the “False Beliefs” portion of the “Activities” section of this blog’s main post “Koch Brothers and Right Wing Political Network Overview”.

During the recent election, this propaganda machine also shamelessly exploited prejudicial fears of whites as useful distractions.  Job loss was attributed mostly to China and immigrants rather than to the more important contribution of rapidly increasing automation.  Perceptions of some whites that they were victims of gains by African-Americans were tolerated, despite the obvious legacy of centuries of slavery, Jim Crow, and subsequent racism.  Violent crime, presumably by minorities, was said to be increasing when it was actually decreasing.  These topics served to distract working-class whites away from the central role of plutocrats in their distress and instead suggested simplistic solutions, such as bullying other groups, deal-making, walls, tariffs, and the like.

Consequences of White Working-Class Susceptibility to Right Wing Propaganda

Working-class whites, swayed by long term right wing propaganda, made a critical contribution to the selection of Donald Trump for the presidency by the Electoral College.  Their reward was a new government loaded up with their union busting, wage and benefit suppressing plutocrat enemies who are likely to oppose anything that would improve their lots.  Make no mistake, this change resulted primarily from decades of shrewd right wing political network propaganda, not from the political genius of Mr. Trump, who merely reaped the harvest of a field already prepared for him.

Presumably, working-class whites will be profoundly disappointed when they find out Mr. Trump can’t relieve their distress by bringing back jobs that didn’t go to China or by beating up on minorities and immigrants.  Perhaps they’ll even realize that fixing the distribution system that favors the plutocrats who exploit them is their only hopeBut wait, all this was obvious before the election.  If the right wing propaganda machine could win them over so easily despite the evidence, what’s to keep it from continuing to do so?

Sources:

  1. Mayer, Jane. Dark Money. 2016.
  2. “Why Wages Have Stagnated While GDP Has Grown: The Proximate Factors”. An Economic Sense. https://aneconomicsense.org. February 13, 2015
  3. Stiglitz, Joseph. The Price of Inequality. 2013.
  4. Milanovic, Branko. Global Inequality. 2016.

U.S. Voting System Flaws Favor The Right Wing Political Network

Democrats have benefited far less than Republicans in the past several national elections because U.S. voting system flaws favor the right wing political network.  For the Presidency, Democrats won the popular election four of the last five times but actually won the Presidency only twice due to the Electoral College.  For the Senate, they won 6% more of the combined vote for present members (over the last three elections) but are in the minority with 6% fewer seats compared to Republicans (52R to 46D).  For the House of Representatives, they won the popular vote once in the last three elections but never won a majority of seats, and they had a 4% smaller portion of seats than votes for each of the last three elections (See tables 1, 2, and 3).

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scan0002 scan0003Gerrymandering—not only for the House of Representatives but essentially also for the Presidency and Senate

How is this political imbalance possible for all three categories of elections for the national government?  The term “Gerrymandering” was born in 1812 when Governor Elbridge Gerry so shamelessly redrew the districts of Massachusetts to favor his party that one district looked like a salamander (See fig. 1).

gerrymandering

For House of Representatives elections, this process has since become routine in many states for determining U.S. congressional districts.  As a result, the party controlling state government (mostly Republicans) redraws district borders after each census, usually according to various strategies to increase its percentage of seats.  For example, in 2012, Democrats won 51 percent of the Congressional vote in Pennsylvania but took just five of 18 House seats because of redistricting.

For Senate and Presidential elections, similar processes (but not called Gerrymandering) favor some voters over others.  These processes were created as a compromise when forming the constitution to counter small state fears of big state power and to accomodate slave states.  For the Senate, two senators per state, regardless of size, over represents small states to counter the numerical advantage of big states in the House.  Thus a trickle of votes from Wyoming (pop. 590,000) counts for as much as a torrent of votes from California (pop. 39 million) in reaching a Senate majority.  This means that one-sixth of voters (located in small red states) account for 50% of Senate seats and have the potential to acquire a majority.

For the Presidency, the Electoral College also over represents small states, but as the legacy of the compromise giving slave states the means to count an extra 3/5 representation for slaves, who, of course, did not vote.  Those who extoll the Electoral College’s virtue because it twice snatched the presidency for their candidate should reflect on this unsavory history. Indeed, voter suppression by disenfranchisement of minorities that may have contributed to recent election results marks a continuation of the original spirit of the Electoral College.

Today for the presidency, states receive one electoral vote for each senator and one for each member of the House of Representatives for a total of 538.  Thus the same one-sixth of voters (in small red states) account for 50% of the 100 Electoral votes allocated for the number of senators, while representation is proportional in the 438 Electoral votes allocated for the number of congressional districts.  This net gain makes it possible for these small states to overturn a general election majority in the Electoral College.  Also, popular victories with large margins in some states can be over turned by small margins in other states.

Minority Government within U.S. Democracy

The result of all this is a minority government beginning in 2017 that will favor the interests of super rich libertarians at the top of the right wing political network.  Even this minority victory, made possible by flaws in our voting system, was still not possible without support from unsavory groups, voter suppression, an FBI director’s partisan October surprise, and decades of propaganda misdirecting white anger.  After all, the number of rich beneficiaries is far too small to win without the help of numerous citizens who must vote against their own interests, sometimes in favor of distracting social issues.

So, what can the rest of us do about this?  Not much.  The Constitution allows no change for the Senate regarding representation of the States but does allow removal of the Electoral College by amendment.   However, change for the Electoral College by amendment is unlikely due to the difficulty of that process.  Alternatively, the influence of the Electoral College could be eliminated by states changing their systems for allocating electoral votes, such as by joining the states of the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact.  These states have agreed to award all electoral votes to the winner of the national popular election to be certain he or she wins the presidency.  This will take effect if sufficient additional states join to increase their present strength of 165 electoral votes to 270.   Change by reallocating electoral votes is probably unlikely, as well, since those who benefit from the present system must vote to change it.

For the House of Representatives, constitutional change is not required to eliminate anti-democratic, partisan congressional redistricting (gerrymandering) within states.  Indeed, seven states limit this partisan role of the legislature by independent or bipartisan redistricting commissions, and four states employ nonbinding independent commissions.  However, redistricting is still performed by the legislature in the remaining 32 states with more than one district.  Again, change is unlikely in these states, since the party in control would have to vote against its own advantage.

So we are mostly stuck with these anti-democratic forces within the voting system leading to minority government in favor of super wealthy families.  Obviously, when the Electoral College Trumped (so to speak) the majority of the general electorate, it accomplished the opposite of the proposed function of protecting the public from election of an unfit candidate.  The resultant new administration and changes in the Supreme Court will further enhance the ability of the right wing super wealthy for unrestrained spending on lobbying, political campaigns, and manipulation of public opinion.  In the meantime, we will be forced to watch the progress of decades erode as we pin our hopes on the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact and on demographics.

Sources   

Editorial Board. “Donald Trump’s Lies About the Popular Vote”.   New York Times. Nov. 28, 2016.

Ingraham, Christopher. “How to Steal an Election”. Washington Post.com/wonkblog. Mar. 1, 2015.

Schulman, Marc.  Why the Electoral College. Http://www.historycentral.com.

United States Presidential Election 2000, 2004, 2008, 2012, 2016. Wikipedia.

United States Senate Elections 2012, 2014, 2016. Wikipedia.

United States House of Representative Elections 2012, 2014, 2016. Wikipedia.